MCKINSEY TECH TRENDS 2026
The Test-and-Learn Loop That Cut One Lab's Costs by 40%, and How to Copy It

McKinsey shows AI-run experiment loops cutting R&D costs and drawing record investment. You don't need a lab to use the method: here is how any product business can shorten its own test cycle.

17 min read

Here is a result worth stealing. Ginkgo Bioworks gave an AI model access to a cloud lab in Boston and let it design the experiments. After six rounds of test, measure and adjust, the cost of the process they were working on came in 40 percent below state-of-the-art practice. McKinsey highlights the case in its Technology Trends Outlook 2026.

You do not need a lab to use the lesson. The win did not come from a smarter scientist or a bigger budget. It came from a faster loop. This article shows how that loop works, why investors are piling into it, and how a business that makes products, menus, services or software can run the same play.

40%
lower cost after six AI-designed experiment cycles (Ginkgo Bioworks)
$12.5B
equity investment through the first half of 2026, vs $7.9B in all of 2025
+18%
job postings, 2024 to 2025, after a sharp fall from the 2022 peak
2 of 5
McKinsey’s adoption score: still experimentation

All four figures: McKinsey, Technology Trends Outlook 2026, AI for scientific discovery and engineering chapter.

Ring of six numbered segments representing six AI-designed experiment cycles, leading to two bars. The state-of-the-art cost is indexed at 100. After six cycles the cost is 60, a 40 percent reduction.
McKinsey, Technology Trends Outlook 2026, citing a Ginkgo Bioworks study in which GPT-5 designed six cycles of experiments on cell-free protein synthesis. Cost shown as an index where state-of-the-art practice equals 100. Chart redrawn by VIVISION.

ENTRY 01 / WHAT ACTUALLY CHANGED

The lab did not get smarter. The loop got shorter.

For decades, research has run in a straight line: someone has an idea, a team designs a test, the test runs, someone analyses the results weeks later, and the next idea starts from there. McKinsey’s report describes leading research teams moving to a closed loop instead. AI models propose what to try, automated systems run the experiments, and software feeds the results straight back into the models for the next round.

That matters because research has been getting slower and more expensive. In biopharma, the report notes, the tendency for drug discovery to get slower and more expensive over time, despite better technology, has a name: Eroom’s Law (Moore’s Law spelled backwards). Bringing a new drug to market still often takes more than ten years and costs an average of $1.3 billion to $2.6 billion. Bending that curve is why the money is moving.

1. PROPOSE
AI suggests what to try
Many more options than a team could list by hand.
2. TEST
Run it cheaply and fast
Automated or simulated first, physical where it counts.
3. MEASURE
Capture every result
Including the failures. They are the training data.
4. FEED BACK
Results shape round two
A person approves before the next cycle starts.

The four-step summary is VIVISION’s simplification of the closed-loop approach McKinsey describes. The report notes humans are still important for approval and verification.

VIVISION insight. Most businesses already run experiments: a new price, a new recipe, a new onboarding email, a new product spec. What they lack is the loop. Results sit in someone’s inbox, nobody writes down why a test failed, and the next round starts three months later from memory. The competitive edge is not the AI model. It is how many good cycles you can run per quarter.

ENTRY 02 / WHERE THE MONEY IS GOING

Six months of 2026 already beat all of 2025

McKinsey measured $7.9 billion of equity investment in AI for scientific discovery and engineering in 2025, and $12.5 billion through the first half of 2026. It names this as one of five trends on track to more than double their investment this year. The deals it cites span AI-native drug discovery, materials science, and engineering platforms that use AI to stand in for slow, costly simulations.

Two columns where width shows the months covered and height shows equity investment. All of 2025, twelve months, 7.9 billion dollars. First half of 2026, six months, 12.5 billion dollars.
McKinsey, Technology Trends Outlook 2026, trend scoring for AI for scientific discovery and engineering. Column width is proportional to the months covered. Chart redrawn by VIVISION.
VIVISION insight. When this much capital chases a method, the tools get cheaper and easier to rent. Engineering firms, food and beverage makers, cosmetics brands, packaging suppliers and anyone with a product spec should expect AI-assisted design and simulation services to show up in their supplier pitches within the next year or two. Know what you would test before the salespeople arrive.

ENTRY 03 / TRANSLATE THE LAB

What the lab version looks like in your business

In the lab In a growing business
Candidate molecules Product variants, price points, offer bundles, recipe or formula tweaks
Simulation before the bench A digital mock-up, a landing page test or a small regional trial before a full launch
Cloud lab you rent Contract testing, outsourced prototyping, ad platforms that run split tests for you
Proprietary experimental data Your sales history, returns, complaints, quality logs and past test results
Validation before clinical trials The real-world check: safety, compliance, a paying customer saying yes

The business equivalents are VIVISION’s analogies, not McKinsey’s.

ENTRY 04 / THE ASSET YOU ALREADY OWN

Your test history is worth more than the model

The report is blunt that scientific data is a strategic asset, and that many organizations do not have enough of their own. Some are pooling data with partners, others are building automated labs mainly to generate it. McKinsey also says that to unlock value, organizations need to capture their own data, know-how and checking routines inside the AI workflows their experts actually use. One example it cites: MIT researchers trained a model on more than 23,000 materials synthesis recipes to help scientists find workable ways to make promising ideas real.

VIVISION insight. Every business has its own version of those 23,000 recipes, scattered across spreadsheets, old emails and one long-serving employee’s head. Before you buy any AI design tool, spend a month writing down what you have tested, what happened and why you think it happened. That log is what turns a generic model into one that knows your customers.

ENTRY 05 / THE PEOPLE PROBLEM

The hire you need speaks both languages

Job postings in this field fell by more than half from their 2022 peak, then rose 18 percent between 2024 and 2025, with machine learning engineers among the fastest-growing roles. McKinsey finds core skills such as machine learning, Python and data science are well supplied. The gap is elsewhere: domain experts and technology practitioners are both available, but people who combine the two are harder to find.

Two overlapping circles. Left: domain experts, domain-specific scientists and engineers, available. Right: tech practitioners with machine learning, Python, cloud and data science skills, well supplied. The small gold overlap, people who combine both, is harder to find.
Illustration by VIVISION of McKinsey’s talent finding in Technology Trends Outlook 2026. Circle sizes are not to scale.
VIVISION insight. Do not try to hire the unicorn. Pair your best product or operations person with a technical partner, give them one loop to own together, and let them learn each other’s language on a real problem. That pairing is usually faster and cheaper than a six-month search for someone who already has both.

ENTRY 06 / WHAT CAN GO WRONG

Three traps McKinsey flags, in plain terms

Trusting the model too early
The report lists reliability and reproducibility of AI-generated outputs as a key uncertainty. AI shortcuts still need real-world checks.
Fast ideas, slow launch
Even with more promising candidates, trials, scale-up and other real-world limits can cap how fast anything reaches market.
Expensive plumbing
Connecting AI, equipment and existing systems is hard, and many automated labs remain costly to run at scale.

Paraphrased from the key uncertainties in McKinsey’s chapter. Headings are VIVISION’s.

QUICK ANSWERS
We are not a science company. Why should we care?

Because the method transfers even if the molecules do not. Any business that improves a product by trying versions and checking results can shorten that cycle. Science is simply where the method is being proven first, with the most money behind it.

Does this mean AI replaces our product team?

No. McKinsey describes language models being used as coordinators that work alongside specialist tools and experts, not as replacements for them, and notes people remain important for approval and verification. Your team decides what is worth testing and what counts as a good result.

Is it too early to act?

For buying autonomous labs, probably yes; McKinsey scores adoption at the experimentation stage. For building the habit, no. Logging tests and shortening your own cycle costs little and makes you ready when the tools mature.

What should we measure?

Two numbers: how many days one test cycle takes from idea to result, and how many cycles you complete per quarter. If the first is falling and the second is rising, your loop is working.

YOUR MONDAY CHECKLIST
☐  Pick one thing you change often: a product spec, a price, a recipe, an offer.
☐  Time your last test of it, from idea to result, in days.
☐  Start a shared test log: what you tried, what happened, why you think so.
☐  Name the pair who will own the loop: one domain expert, one technical partner.
☐  Set a target: half the cycle time, twice the cycles, by next quarter.

WHAT WE DO FOR CLIENTS FACING THIS

VIVISION runs a test-and-learn sprint. We map how your team develops and improves products today, measure the real cycle time, and find where ideas wait. Then we set up the test log, choose where AI can propose or simulate options safely, and agree the human checks that stay in place.

You leave with one working loop, a baseline you can measure against, and a clear view of which AI design tools are worth paying for and which are not yet.

How long does one test cycle take in your business?

Tell us, and we will show you where the days are going and how to win them back.

Talk to VIVISION

Source: McKinsey & Company, “Technology Trends Outlook 2026” (Sixth edition, September 2026), AI for scientific discovery and engineering chapter. All statistics are McKinsey’s, including studies the report cites such as the Ginkgo Bioworks cloud-lab experiment and MIT materials research. Charts were redrawn by VIVISION from the published figures; the talent diagram is a VIVISION illustration of McKinsey’s finding. The four-step loop summary, the business translation table, the “VIVISION insight” sections, the quick-answer opinions, the Monday checklist and “what we do for clients” are VIVISION’s own views and are not McKinsey’s.

Copyright in the original report belongs to McKinsey & Company. Cover photo: Egor Myznik on Unsplash.