MCKINSEY TECH TRENDS 2026
The Skill Gap Keeping Your AI Stuck in Pilot (It's Not Data Science)

McKinsey's talent data shows AI model builders are plentiful while the people who get AI into daily operations are scarce. Here is how to build, borrow or buy the missing skills.

18 min read

When an AI project stalls, most owners reach the same conclusion: we need an AI expert. So they post a job for a data scientist or a machine learning engineer, wait months, and the project still sits in pilot. McKinsey’s newest talent data suggests they were shopping for the wrong skill.

The Technology Trends Outlook 2026 tracks job postings and skill supply across 14 technology trends. Read side by side, the chapters tell a consistent story. The people who can build AI models are, by the report’s numbers, relatively easy to find. The people who can put AI into daily operations, connect it to your systems and keep it running are not. That second group is the real bottleneck, and it is the one most growing businesses forget to plan for.

+952%
rise in agentic AI job postings from 2024 to 2025, off a small base
5 of 14
tech trends where the sharpest skill shortage McKinsey flags is CI/CD
~1 in 10
qualified people per open role for CI/CD and optimization skills

Figures: McKinsey & Company, Technology Trends Outlook 2026, talent and labor market pages for each trend. “~1 in 10” is VIVISION’s plain reading of the talent-to-demand ratio of 0.1 the report shows for these skills.

IN ONE MINUTE
1Hiring is splitting in two. McKinsey’s data shows postings for agentic AI and AI coding roles surging, while postings in most other tech trends fell or barely grew.
2The shortage is not where most people look. Machine learning and Python skills are well supplied, according to the report.
3The scarce skills are the ones that turn a working demo into a working business process: shipping updates safely, connecting tools together, and tuning systems for real conditions.
4VIVISION’s view: a growing business rarely needs to win the bidding war for AI researchers. It needs one clear owner for getting AI into operations, plus the right outside help for the rarest skills.

Tile map of McKinsey's 14 technology trends showing the sharpest skill shortage named in each. CI/CD, the skill of shipping and updating software safely, is the named shortage in five trends: agentic software development, AI infrastructure, advanced connectivity, cybersecurity and space. Optimization or orchestration is named in four more.
Compiled by VIVISION from the skills availability pages of McKinsey’s Technology Trends Outlook 2026. Where a chapter names two shortages, both are shown. Chart redrawn by VIVISION.

Each chapter of the report closes with a talent section that names the skills where qualified people fall shortest of demand. The same answer keeps coming back. In agentic software development, AI infrastructure, advanced connectivity, cybersecurity and space technologies, the sharpest gap McKinsey points to includes continuous integration and continuous delivery, usually shortened to CI/CD. In plain terms, that is the discipline of testing, releasing and updating software safely and often. In robotics, mobility and custom chips, the gap is optimization. In agentic AI, it is orchestration, the layer that makes models, tools and workflows work together.

01 / HIRING IS SPLITTING IN TWO

Everyone is chasing the same small pool

McKinsey reports that agentic AI postings rose roughly tenfold from 2024 to 2025, and agentic software development postings more than tripled. At the other end, quantum, energy, space and mobility all posted fewer roles. In energy and sustainability, the report notes that most core build-out roles, such as technicians, electrical engineers and project managers, are down roughly 40 percent or more since 2022.

Diverging bar chart of the change in job postings from 2024 to 2025 across 14 technology trends: agentic AI up 952 percent, agentic software development up 221 percent, AI infrastructure up 47 percent, down to quantum technologies down 46 percent
Job postings linked to each trend, percentage difference 2024 to 2025, from McKinsey’s Technology Trends Outlook 2026. The agentic AI bar is shortened to fit and marked with a break. Chart redrawn by VIVISION.

The report’s introduction is direct about what this means for companies: organizations face shortages in energy, talent and capital, and have workforces that need upskilling. The AI infrastructure chapter lists skilled labor next to processors and power equipment as an emerging bottleneck to scaling.

VIVISION insight. A growing business will not outbid a hyperscaler or an AI lab for the same scarce engineers, and it should not try. When demand for a role jumps tenfold in a year, the smart move is to need fewer of those people, not to join the queue. That is a design decision about how you run AI, not a recruiting problem.

02 / THREE HIRING MYTHS

What the talent data actually says

MYTH

“Our AI project is stuck because we can’t find a data scientist.”

REALITY

Machine learning and Python skills are well supplied across most trends, McKinsey’s data shows. The gaps sit in getting AI into production: CI/CD, orchestration and optimization.

MYTH

“AI means we will simply need fewer people.”

REALITY

The report describes a shift to smaller, highly leveraged teams focused on defining the product, designing the system and handling exceptions, and says this requires significant upskilling. Fewer seats, different skills.

MYTH

“The skills gap is a problem for tech companies, not us.”

REALITY

The same pattern appears in telecom, space, mobility and robotics. In robotics, McKinsey says the harder constraint is finding people who can connect AI with hardware, controls and deployment. That is an operations skill.

03 / THE SCARCE SKILLS, IN PLAIN ENGLISH

Builders are plentiful. People who make AI run are not.

Icon rows showing qualified people per 10 open roles by skill: CI/CD 1, optimization 1, orchestration 2, AI 3, cloud computing 10, Python 18, machine learning 43
Ratio of talent to demand by skill, from the talent pages of McKinsey’s Technology Trends Outlook 2026. Showing each ratio as people per 10 open roles is VIVISION’s presentation. Chart redrawn by VIVISION.

What each scarce skill means for a business that is not a tech company. The translations are VIVISION’s.

Skill in the report What it means in your business Sign you are missing it
CI/CD Moving a tool from “works in the test” to “used every day”, and updating it without breaking things. Pilots that impressed everyone but never went live.
Orchestration Connecting AI tools to each other and to your CRM, finance and operations systems so work flows end to end. Staff copy and paste between the AI tool and everything else.
Optimization Tuning a system for real conditions: cost, speed, accuracy, the messy cases. It works in the demo and fails on Monday morning volume.
AI (applied) Knowing which AI approach fits which business problem, and when not to use it. Tools chosen by vendor pitch rather than by problem.
VIVISION insight. McKinsey’s AI for science chapter makes a point that applies well beyond labs: specialists in the field and technology practitioners are both available, but people who combine the two are hard to find. In the growing businesses we work with, the most valuable AI person is usually not the most technical one. It is the operator who understands the workflow and learns just enough of the technology to own it.

04 / BUILD, BORROW OR BUY

Match each skill to the right way of getting it

A VIVISION decision guide, built on the supply picture in McKinsey’s talent data.

Build
GROW IT INSIDE

For: workflow ownership, applied AI judgment, day-to-day tool use.

Pick one respected operator per AI use case and give them time and training. This knowledge is specific to your business and compounds.

Borrow
RENT THE RAREST SKILLS

For: CI/CD, orchestration, optimization.

These are the scarcest skills in the data. Use a partner to set up the release and integration plumbing once, and to hand over a simple way to run it.

Buy
USE WHAT EXISTS

For: model building, standard AI features.

Model skills are well supplied, and vendors are building agents into the software you already pay for. Buy capability before you hire to create it.

05 / YOUR FIRST 90 DAYS

From stuck pilot to running process

DAYS 1 TO 30
Name the owner and find the break point
Pick the one AI pilot closest to value. Name a business owner for it. Map exactly where it stops: release, integration, or real-world tuning.
DAYS 31 TO 60
Borrow the scarce skill, pair it with your owner
Bring in outside CI/CD or integration help for that one break point, with your owner working alongside. The goal is a live process, plus a written way to run it.
DAYS 61 TO 90
Measure, hand over, repeat
Track one business metric the process moves. Hand day-to-day running to your owner. Use what you learned to pick the next pilot, and decide which skill is worth building in-house.

Quick answers

We are not a software company. Why should CI/CD matter to us?

Because every AI tool you adopt is software that needs to be released, updated and checked. McKinsey’s space chapter describes a workforce better equipped for traditional engineering than for the automation and continuous-update work the sector now needs. VIVISION’s view: the same is true of most traditional businesses adopting AI.

Should we stop hiring engineers, like some large firms?

The report notes that Salesforce said it would not hire more software engineers in 2025 after productivity gains from AI-assisted development. VIVISION’s view: that is a signal about team shape, not a rule for you. Most growing firms need fewer generalist hires and more deliberate ownership of how AI runs.

Is upskilling our current team realistic?

For ownership and applied AI judgment, yes, and it is usually faster than hiring. For the rarest technical skills, pair training with outside help until the process is stable. McKinsey’s talent data shows those skills are scarce for everyone.

How reliable are these talent numbers?

McKinsey measures job postings through its Organizational Data Platform, drawn mainly from English-speaking countries. Treat the figures as strong directional signals about where supply and demand diverge, not as a hiring forecast for your city.

WHAT WE DO FOR CLIENTS FACING THIS

VIVISION runs an AI capability review. We look at your AI pilots, find where each one breaks between demo and daily use, and sort every missing skill into build, borrow or buy. Then we design the team shape: who owns each process, what your people learn, and what stays with a partner.

The result is a plan that gets your first pilot running in weeks without joining the hiring race for the scarcest engineers.

Have an AI pilot that never went live?

Tell us where it stopped. We will tell you which skill is missing and the fastest way to get it.

Talk to VIVISION

Source: McKinsey & Company, “Technology Trends Outlook 2026” (Sixth edition, September 2026), introduction and the talent and labor market pages of all 14 trend chapters. All statistics are McKinsey’s, including sources the report cites. Charts were redrawn by VIVISION from the published figures; the tile map compiles the shortages named in each chapter. The “VIVISION insight” sections, the plain-English skill translations, the build, borrow or buy guide, the 90-day plan, the quick-answer opinions and “what we do for clients” are VIVISION’s own views and are not McKinsey’s.

Copyright in the original report belongs to McKinsey & Company. Cover photo: Minh Đức on Unsplash.